Belmont Park Races 4, 10, 11 for May 21, 2016

Belmont Park Races 4, 10, 11 for May 21, 2016

By May 21, 2016Reports
races Janice L. Blake The Jockey's Edge Belmont Picks

Picks for the Belmont Park races

May 21, 2016

I am handicapping the Belmont Park Races 4, 10, and 11. It will rain late in the day, so take that into consideration with your picks if you are betting early. I have handicapped the races for you assuming they will stay on the turf, as Races 10 and 11 are Stakes races, and it is Preakness Day. (Race 4 may be taken off the turf, as it is a NY Bred race.)

May 21, 2016

Race 4  8, 4, 7

Win: #8  Swayed

Place: #4  Startwithsilver

Show: #7  Animal Appeal

Ditch: #1  First Charmer – has to have lead but has too many competitors for it. Will fold.

#8  Swayed  A versatile filly who can easily be rated behind the front runners in here. Has been running against winners and will appreciate the NY Bred company.

#4 Startwithsilver  Another versatile filly needing more experience. She may be right there for a piece of it based on her class alone. On the improve. First time against winners.

#7 Animal Appeal  Looks to need the turf, so be wary if this race switches to dirt. Needs to have the lead to win and may not get it in here, as there are plenty of challengers for it. Still a strong choice for hitting the board.

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Race 10  3, 4, 8

Win:  #3  Lightstream

Place:  #4 Brinkley

Show: #8 Summer Reading

Ditch:  #7  Morethanjusthello- Stepping up in competition.

#3  Lightstream  The horse to beat in here. Showed her grit against winners first time back.

#4  Brinkley  Can sit behind. Doesn’t have to have the lead. Solid numbers from a solid barn. Good jockey.

#8  Summer Reading  Best of the rest in here. Only drawback is she has not raced on this surface. Has worked over it respectably, so that may be an indication. Definitely looks to be in the money here.

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Race 11

Win: #1  Paulassilverlining

Place: #5  Blithely

Show: #3  Stormy Sky

Ditch: @#2 West Coast Chick (needs the lead and just not good enough to get it or keep it), Momameamaria (same as West Coast Chick) Both running to fill the race for the #1 horse and to get an assured piece of the action with only 5 runners in here.

#1  Paulassilverlining This filly is head and shoulders above the rest in here and will have to get up on the wrong side of the straw to get beat in this race. Can rate and come off the pace nicely.

#5  Blithely The next best filly in here. Will come in behind the #1 horse.

#3  Stormy Sky  Could legitimately beat the #5 horse. Do not ignore.

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