The Jockey’s Edge Preakness Free Picks
141st running, May 21, 2016
Here are the 141st running of the Preakness free picks for the race tomorrow, this Saturday, May 21, 2016.
The Jockey’s Edge Free Picks
A field of 11 goes to the post. It is an interesting field, to be sure, with with plenty of speed and rain in the forecast, it could be anybody’s race. Speed horses generally fare well in the slop, going out on the front end with no challengers. Unfortunately for Nyquist, there are plenty of speed horses in here to soften him up for the competitive closers in the field. Let’s take a look at the race and see what The Jockey’s Edge comes up with!
5, 7, 3, 2
Win: 5 Exaggerator
Place: 7 Collected
Show: 3 Nyquist
4th: 2 Uncle Lino
Analysis, see below.
The Jockey’s Edge is infinitely grateful to Brisnet.com for generously supplying us with a copy of the past performance of all racers in the Preakness, 2016!
|Post||Horse||Jockey||Trainer||Morning Line||Odds Shark|
|1||Cherry Wine||Corey Lanerie||Dale Romans||20/1||25/1|
|2||Uncle Lino||Fernando Perez||Gary Sherlock||20/1||33/1|
|3||Nyquist||Mario Gutierrez||Doug O’Neill||3/5||4/7|
|4||Awesome Speed||Jevian Toledo||Alan Goldberg||30/1||33/1|
|5||Exaggerator||Kent Desormeaux||Keith Desormeaux||3/1||15/4|
|6||Lani||Yutaka Take||Mikio Matsunaga||30/1||40/1|
|7||Collected||Javier Castellano||Bob Baffert||10/1||16/1|
|8||Laoban||Florent Geroux||Eric Guillot||30/1||40/1|
|9||Abiding Star||J.D. Acosta||Ned Allar||30/1||40/1|
|10||Fellowship||Jose Lezcano||Mark Casse||30/1||33/1|
|11||Stradivari||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||8/1||8/1|
Source: Preakness.com; Odds Shark
#1 Cherry Wine – Likes a sloppy track, and closes well, but cannot compete with these.
#2 Uncle Lino – Doesn’t mind the slop. Ran a big one in California last. Could pop another big number here as he appears to be improving.
#3 Nyquist – Can he hold onto his streak? There’s more than plenty of speed in here to soften him up. Has he ever been behind horses and taken much dirt? Can he overcome traffic and pressure, even if he is much the best? Will have to leave the gate to get position, and so will some others. He may be covered up and boxed in for the first time.
#4 Awesome Speed – A true speed contender, has experience on a wet track. Liable to lay behind the real speed, but can he make up that much ground keeping up with these?
#5 Exaggerator – Has all types of experience. Is only getting better with each race. Experienced jockey. Closes well, even in the slop. The horse to beat, if Nyquist falters with the speed in here.
#6 Lani – Jockey must adjust his riding style to the American speed-based tracks. Likes to linger behind and make a run at the last minute. Could work if he follows Exaggerator around, but will he be there in the shadow of the wire?
#7 Collected – Another speed contender. Has the numbers to hold on to the end. Doesn’t mind a wet track and could hold on just long enough to get a piece of it. Pours it on at the end.
#8 Laoban – Untested in the mud. Maiden, has never beat proven winners. Can he run with these? I seriously doubt it. But the race must be run, and one never knows until then…
#9 Abiding Star – All speed. Must have the lead. Will definitely be there testing the pace the whole way. Can he hold on? Proven in the slop, but not at this level.
#10 Fellowship – Finished 3rd to Nyquist in the Florida Derby. Majesto finished 2nd in Florida Derby and almost last in the Derby. Don’t think he can compete at this level.
#11 Stradivari – Won a maiden race and first level allowance. Making a big step up in here, but from an experienced barn, with a good jockey. Can lay off the speed some. Could be a contender, but does he have the experience to overcome this field of runners?