Picks for the Belmont Park card
May 7, 2016
I will be handicapping the Belmont Park Races 4, 7, and 9. I was going to do the Stakes races, but since most are on the turf, I assume they will be taken off for tomorrow. It is a shot in the dark to attempt to handicap a race with so many scratches before one knows what the scratches are.
Win: Red Vine
Place: Anchor Down
Ditch: Stormin’ Monarcho
Red Vine Clearly the horse to beat, and no surprise in this field, even with his vacation in Florida. It probably did him good, as it does most of us. Key him on top with others for nice exacta payoffs.
Anchor Down May have physical problems, but overall is better than most in here and has been running consistently. Probably cannot beat Red Vine, unless Red Vine has a bad day or is not fit off the layoff.
Samraat He is coming off a long layoff, so he should be well-rested and had time to heal whatever was ailing him. He ran respectably off the layoff and should improve his condition from that race. He is an honest horse and will give his all. Has plenty of back class to jump up.
Win: Prophet’s Cat
Place: Here Comes Tommy
Show: Mind Your Biscuits
Ditch: Sharpie’s Dream (first time against winners), and Pierce’s Prize (not competitive at this level)
Back Pocket Pick: Dr. Luber’s Kiss (could be ready), Mr. Harlan (good on wet track)
Prophet’s Cat Likes the mud, won on a “good” track on the Inner. Jockey is good judge of pace. Horse is competitive.
Here Comes Tommy Sitting on a win.Runs well on a wet track. Seasoned jockey. Enough pace in here to set it up for him at top of stretch.
Mind Your Biscuits Broke his maiden impressively. Could be coming into form to be a decent horse, but facing winners for the first time. May not be a route horse from 2nd to last race. 7f may suit him. Use with caution, but use.
Win: Cards of Stone
Place: Beyond the Green
Ditch: Broman entry (Kimmel, Ubillo), All About Ashley (Need to see one more. Better on turf.)
Back Pocket Pick: Extinct Charm (dropping way down, could show something for that reason), Force (back class, but coming off long lay off), Hunt’s Road (cannot ignore Rodriquez claim. Horse has probably had an overhaul since claim).