Belmont Park Races 4, 7, 9 for May 7, 2016

Belmont Park Races 4, 7, 9 for May 7, 2016

By May 12, 2016Reports
Braulio Baeza Belmont Park The Jockey's Edge Buckpasser

Picks for the Belmont Park card

May 7, 2016

I will be handicapping the Belmont Park Races 4, 7, and 9. I was going to do the Stakes races, but since most are on the turf, I assume they will be taken off for tomorrow. It is a shot in the dark to attempt to handicap a race with so many scratches before one knows what the scratches are.

Race 4

Win: Red Vine

Place: Anchor Down

Show: Samraat

Ditch: Stormin’ Monarcho

Red Vine  Clearly the horse to beat, and no surprise in this field, even with his vacation in Florida. It probably did him good, as it does most of us. Key him on top with others for nice exacta payoffs.

Anchor Down  May have physical problems, but overall is better than most in here and has been running consistently. Probably cannot beat Red Vine, unless Red Vine has a bad day or is not fit off the layoff.

Samraat  He is coming off a long layoff, so he should be well-rested and had time to heal whatever was ailing him. He ran respectably off the layoff and should improve his condition from that race. He is an honest horse and will give his all. Has plenty of back class to jump up.


Race 7

Win:  Prophet’s Cat

Place:  Here Comes Tommy

Show: Mind Your Biscuits

Ditch:  Sharpie’s Dream (first time against winners), and Pierce’s Prize (not competitive at this level)

Back Pocket Pick: Dr. Luber’s Kiss (could be ready), Mr. Harlan (good on wet track)

Prophet’s Cat  Likes the mud, won on a “good” track on the Inner. Jockey is good judge of pace. Horse is competitive.

Here Comes Tommy  Sitting on a win.Runs well on a wet track. Seasoned jockey. Enough pace in here to set it up for him at top of stretch.

Mind Your Biscuits  Broke his maiden impressively. Could be coming into form to be a decent horse, but facing winners for the first time. May not be a route horse from 2nd to last race. 7f may suit him. Use with caution, but use.


Race 9

Win: Cards of Stone

Place: Beyond the Green

Show: Sinistra

Ditch: Broman entry (Kimmel, Ubillo), All About Ashley (Need to see one more. Better on turf.)

Back Pocket Pick: Extinct Charm (dropping way down, could show something for that reason), Force (back class, but coming off long lay off), Hunt’s Road (cannot ignore Rodriquez claim. Horse has probably had an overhaul since claim).

Cards of Stone Nothing says “On Sale” like dropping to 40K after having run in the Blue Grass. Should win with his eyes closed. Picked on top but could be a tired, spent horse.

Beyond the Green Consistent, sitting on a win. Experienced horse, can sit back and watch race unfold.

Sinistra  Why claim a 6 yo gelding for 25K and run him for 40K? Horse has made 298K and with the Rodriguez/Dubb combo has certainly had the works done on him. A mysterious claim, yet hard to ignore. Use with caution. Have a look in the paddock if you can. Does not like a muddy track.

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